It’s the season’s final race in the Golden State, and round 5 in San Diego is shaping up to be an exciting night. Keep reading to get the SXperts take on the weather, the points battle, and even hear from Supercross star Benny Bloss!

Oakland Recap

  • Cooper Webb took the holeshot and led the entire race
  • Joey Savatgy was in the top 4 until mechanical issues took him out of the race
  • Aaron Plessinger crashed off a wall jump while in 6th place and finished the race in 19th place
  • Cooper Webb, Marvin Musquin, and Blake Baggett took the podium in a KTM sweep

RMFantasySX Stats

  • 1,485 players had Cooper Webb taking 1st
  • 96.89% of players had Tomac in their picks; only 42.67% of those players had Tomac taking 1st
  • 40.42% of players had Baggett in their picks
  • 4.65% of players got Barcia as the wildcard

SXperts Points

  • Stats & Lats
    • Christian: 20
    • Chase: 38
    • Overall Total: 200

  • Slice & Dice
    • Jim: 25
    • Daniel: 20
    • Overall Total: 164


Photo Credit: Kardy Photo

Injury Report

  • Recurring: Peick, J. Martin, Bloss, Osborne, Stewart, Anderson
  • No new injures at Oakland

San Diego – 2018 Style

  • Roczen ended his season here after crashing into Webb
  • Tomac got caught in a start crash with Peick, Roczen, and M. Stewart – DNF’d
  • Cole Seely was leading, lost it after getting passed by Anderson
  • Podium: Anderson, Musquin, and Baggett

Qualifying vs. Starts vs. Finishes for 2019 (Avg. for All Rounds)

RiderQualifyingStartFinish
Baggett10.510.337.75
Barcia11.57.56
Bogle1712.515.25
Bowers12.6713.816.33
Brayton6.2512.1710
Breece25.3319.519
Chisholm21.2518.6718
Friese12.2512.3312.5
Gardner26.3317.517.5
Hill7.51714
Lamay18.7517.218.33
Musquin5.53.54.25
Plessinger14.59.6710.75
Ray17.517.618
Reed14.7512.1711.25
Roczen5.254.333.5
Savatgy7.259.215
Seely9.259.59
Tomac4.57.173.5
Webb56.174.25
Wilson7.2575.75

100% Chance of Rain

The forecast for San Diego is 100% chance of rain, and the outdoor stadium means that it’s going to be a mudder. Let’s take a look at the riders that thrive and dive on a muddy track, based on trends from some of the most recent rainy races.

Thrive

  • Webb
    • Took 5th at the unexpected mudder at A1 in 2019
    • Took 5th at Seattle in 2018
    • Average finish of the 2018 season was 9.15
    • Took 8th at Seattle in 2017
    • Average finish of the 2017 season was 10.08

  • Tomac
    • Took 3rd at A1 in 2019
    • 2019 was his best finish at A1 in his 450SX career
    • Took 1st at Seattle in 2018
    • Took 2nd at Seattle in 2017


    Photo Credit: Kardy Photo

  • Plessinger
    • Took 6th at A1 in 2019 – his first 450SX race
    • Took 1st by a landslide at Seattle in 2018 as a 250
    • Took 1st at Seattle in 2017 as a 250

Dive

  • Baggett
    • Not a consistent mud racer, plain and simple
    • Hasn’t cracked the top 5 at a mud race
    • Took 12th at A1 in 2019
    • Average finish of the 2019 season is 7.75
    • Took 8th at Seattle in 2018
    • Average finish of the 2018 season was 6.53
    • Took 7th at Seattle in 2017
    • Average finish of the 2017 season was 8.29

  • Savatgy
    • Took 16th at A1 in 2019
    • Took 12th at Seattle in 2018
    • Average finish of the 2018 season was 4.6

Points Battle

  • Webb
    • First repeat winner of 2019
    • Last 4 starts have been 2nd or better.
    • Current points leader at 83 points – only two points ahead of Roczen (81)
    • Has now led the most laps of the 2019 season – 38/103 compared to Roczen (19/103)
    • Second rider to lead an entire race in 2019 – Tomac led the entire 3rd main at A2


    Photo Credit: Kardy Photo

  • Roczen
    • Has gotten progressively worse this season:
      • A1: 2nd
      • Glendale: 3rd
      • A2: 4th
      • Oakland: 5th
    • Since 2015, Roczen has been in the top 4 in points standings going into round 5 every year except for 2017 when he crashed out of A2

  • Tomac
    • Tomac and Roczen are the only riders to be in the top 5 every round
    • Finishes of 2019:
      • A1: 3rd
      • Glendale: 4th
      • A2: 3rd
      • Oakland: 4th
    • Trend indicates Tomac could take 3rd at San Diego
    • Since 2017, Tomac has taken first by round 4 – this will be round 5

  • Musquin
    • Had the fastest lap time at Oakland
    • Has been on the podium at San Diego since 2017
      • 2017: 3rd
      • 2018: 2nd
    • His finishes have gotten better every round:
      • A1: 8th
      • Glendale: 5th
      • A2: 2nd
      • Oakland: 2nd
    • Only 4 points back in the championship without winning a race, leading a lap, or getting a holeshot


Photo Credit: Kardy Photo

Spoilers

  • Baggett
    • Finishes of 2019:
      • A1: 12th
      • Glendale: 1st
      • A2: 15th
      • Oakland: 3rd
    • Baggett and Tomac are on opposite-podium schedules
    • Started in 11th and worked his way into 3rd by the end of Oakland
    • Finished at least 11 spots different each round this year – 12, 1, 15, 3
    • Both times he’s made the top 5 he’s qualified 12th or worse

  • Barcia
    • Nursed his injury to a respectable 7th at Oakland
    • Has made the top 5 only once this year – 1st at A1
    • Hasn’t made the top 5 when qualifying worse than 9th this year

  • Wilson
    • 2019 average finish is 1.25 spots from his average start
    • Has the fifth best average finish of 2019 (5.75)
    • Has led the fourth most laps of 2019 (14)
    • Hasn’t started worse than 8th in a standard round


    Photo Credit: Kardy Photo

  • Seely
    • Started in 7th, but crashed in the beginning of the Oakland race and resumed in 20th
    • Worked his way back up to 11th – his best charge for the season
    • Had the fastest lap time at San Diego in 2018
    • Has taken the podium 2/5 at San Diego since 2015
      • 3rd at San Diego 1 in 2016
      • 2nd at San Diego 2 in 2016
    • Has been in the top 6 every other time
      • 2015: 6th
      • 2017: 5th
      • 2018: 4th

  • Plessinger
    • Has placed in the top 10 every other round
      • Round 1 (A1): 6th
      • Round 3 (A2): 7th
    • Was in 23.87% of players picks for Oakland
    • Has started in the top 5 in 2 of the 3 standard rounds this year

Wild Card (13th)

  • Friese
    • Has finished 13th twice this season and 12th twice this season
    • Average finish of 2019: 12.67
    • Finished 13th three times and 12th five times in 2018
    • Average finish of 2018: 13.12


    Photo Credit: Kardy Photo

  • Reed
    • Finished 13th at A2 and 14th at Glendale
    • Average finish of 2019: 11.25
    • Finished 13th twice and 14th twice in 2018
    • Average finish of 2018: 13.65

  • Hill
    • 450SX rookie
    • 2019 finishes:
      • A1: 15th
      • Glendale: 13th
      • A2: 11th
      • Oakland: 14th
    • Average finish of 2019: 13.25

  • Savatgy
    • Was in the top 4 at Oakland before his mechanical issues
    • Has the 15th best average finish, average finish is 15th

SXperts’ Picks

Christian Chase
1st Marvin Musquin Eli Tomac
2nd Cooper Webb Cooper Webb
3rd Eli Tomac Ken Roczen
4th Ken Roczen Marvin Musquin
5th Justin Barcia Justin Barcia
WC Tyler Bowers Vince Friese

Note: Christian and Chase reserve the right to change their picks.

San Diego may be the fifth round of Supercross, but it’s not too late to be the first round you play RMFantasySX! Sign up for the game at www.rmfantasysx.com and take your shot at winning some of these awesome prizes:

Prize Recap

  • 1st – 2 Sets of Pirelli MX 32 Mid-Hard Terrain Tires – Up To $524.62 MSRP
  • 2nd – Bell Moto-9 MIPS Helmet – $399.95 MSRP
  • 3rd – Fox LE Gear Set – Up to $369.85 MSRP
  • 4th – Fly Racing F2 Carbon MIPS Helmet – Up to $299.95 MSRP
  • 5th – Pro Honda Prize Pack – Up to $289.20 MSRP
  • 6th – Pro Pegs Titanium Foot Pegs – Up to $268.00 MSRP
  • 7th – 100% Racecraft Plus Goggle & Type-S Sunglasses
  • 8th – Torc1 Control Prize Package – $209.96 MSRP
  • 9th – Acerbis $180.00 Spending Spree
  • 10th – Scott Prospect Goggle $89.95 & Goggle Case – $132.45 MSRP
  • 11th-100th – $10 Rocky Mountain ATV/MC Gift Cards


Photo Credit: Kardy Photo

At the end of the season, we’ll also be awarding the top 10 players with some incredible grand prizes. So keep your head in the game, watch out for roll-over picks, and you just may win!

Grand Prizes

  • 1st – Race-Prepped KTM 450SX-F
  • 2nd – Race-Prepped KTM 250SX-F
  • 3rd – Moab Red Rock Getaway plus Generator
  • 4th – Monster Energy Cup Trip
  • 5th – Dunlop Broc Glover Legend Ride
  • 6th – Milestone Video Games, Supercross 2 Video Game, Gaming Console, and 4K TV
  • 7th – Motion Pro Tools
  • 8th – Motool Slacker Digital Sag Scale V2 & Ballistic Nylon Case
  • 9th – Tusk Impact Wheel Set
  • 10th – Oakley Goggles and Sunglasses

If you have suggestions for the SXperts, let us know in the comments below. And, don’t forget that you can tune into the new SXperts podcast every week!

Resources

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